Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2026

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 15, 2026

Updated Jan 16, 2026 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.
As a team, the Celtics have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: worst in the league this year, totaling just 18.7 foul shots per game.

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