Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2025

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Dec 11, 2025

Updated Dec 12, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-119/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has posted 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.4 higher than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.2 buckets per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a positive matchup.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Celtics.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
When it comes to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 18.6 free throw attempts per game ranks worst in the league this year.

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