Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has converted 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.1 higher than he's made in all games this year when playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Payton Pritchard ranks in the 97th percentile for threes scored, registering 3.1 per game this year.
Payton Pritchard has averaged 28.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing at home with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Payton Pritchard will likely get a boost in output across the board due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year.
The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Magic).
As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 19.4 free throws per game.

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