Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has made 50.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Payton Pritchard comes in at the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 28.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Orlando Magic are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (42.3%).
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Boston Celtics.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 19.4 foul shot attempts per game.
This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Payton Pritchard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.