Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Apr 1, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has attempted 12.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Payton Pritchard has attempted 9.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Payton Pritchard measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 28.3 minutes per game this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase plays for the Celtics.
The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls of late: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a measly 17.0 foul shot attempts per game.
Payton Pritchard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production across the board.

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