Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has made 50.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
The Celtics will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 5th-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court.
Payton Pritchard will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.
As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the charity stripe on their home court: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling a mere 19.1 free throw attempts per game.

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