Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 6/17/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Jun 17, 2024

Updated Jun 18, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has sunk 58.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 11.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season at home.
The Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.
Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Payton Pritchard will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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