Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 7, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has converted 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.6 more than he's converted over the course of the season at home.
Payton Pritchard has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard has converted 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing at home.
Payton Pritchard is expected to see an increase in production across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Boston Celtics.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team with a mere 17.8 free throw attempts per game.

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