Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 1, 2024

Updated May 2, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has sunk 2.9 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made overall this year when playing at home.
Payton Pritchard has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The Celtics check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's made overall this season.
Payton Pritchard will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.
As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying a lowly 16.3 free throw attempts per game.

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