Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+124/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has converted 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Payton Pritchard has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics.
When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Celtics's unimpressive 16.2 free throw attempts per game comes in as the worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Payton Pritchard figures to see a decline in output for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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