Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 10:03 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 7.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Payton Pritchard has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's played overall this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying a mere 16.6 foul shot attempts per game.
Payton Pritchard will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

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