Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has converted 5.3 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard rates in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while playing away from home, totaling 4.4 per game this year.
Payton Pritchard has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 8th-best in in the league while playing on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season on the road.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Celtics's subpar 17.2 foul shots per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league over the last 20 games.
Payton Pritchard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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