Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 25, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has sunk 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Payton Pritchard has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.7 more than he's tallied overall this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 7.6 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The 4th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Payton Pritchard stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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