Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 1.0 clip, Payton Pritchard's 3-point shots made have increased this year to 1.7 per game.
Payton Pritchard has tallied a whopping 20.2 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 12.1 minutes per game last year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 17.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on 3-pointers (3rd-weakest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a difficult matchup.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers).
With respect to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 17.3 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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