Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 4.6 clip, Payton Pritchard's shots have increased this season to 6.6 per game.
In comparison to last season's 12.1 mark, Payton Pritchard's playing time has jumped this season to 20.3 minutes per game.
When it comes to offense, the Celtics's outstanding 123.3 points per game rates most in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing squads have totaled 31.3 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup.
Payton Pritchard has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 17.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have secured 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (continuing possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
Payton Pritchard will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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