Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted in all games this year.
Payton Pritchard has averaged a whopping 20.5 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 12.1 minutes per game last season.
This matchup is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have tallied the 2nd-least FG attempts per game in the league against them this year (86.1).
The Celtics rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 17.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Celtics.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has grabbed 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the 76ers (preserving possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).
In regard to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 17.1 free throws per game rates worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 25.4 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-most in the league).

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