Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 24, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted overall this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 17 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have snagged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).
Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Over the last 25 games, the other team has attempted 19.3 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

This matchup is a favorable one; when the Knicks are playing at home, they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (115.6).
The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
Payton Pritchard is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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