Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Payton Pritchard comes in at the 83rd percentile for three-point prowess with a a terrific 40.0% rate this year.
The Boston Celtics will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).
Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.2% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

This year, opposing teams have averaged 39.2 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a good matchup.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.

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