Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 39.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 46.6% on shots from the field (7th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, creating a challenging matchup.
The Celtics rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 21.8% more than he's made overall this season.
Payton Pritchard will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league away from their home court this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers (saving possessions that can bring about added chances for offense).
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (9th-most in the NBA).

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