Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has converted 39.6% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 10.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season away from his home court.
The Boston Celtics will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Raptors have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games, the other team has scored 131.2 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The 9th-slowest pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Boston Celtics.
Payton Pritchard is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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