Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team has totaled the 6th-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games when the Bucks are playing at home (32.3).
The Boston Celtics will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard places in the 22nd percentile for field goal effectiveness with a an unimpressive 39.7% rate this year.
The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 12.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Among all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard measures in the 19th percentile for foul shots sunk without the home court advantage, posting a mere 0.3 per game this year.
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 28.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

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