Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has sunk 2.3 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted overall this year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have attempted 21.2 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Payton Pritchard will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
This matchup is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have tallied the 10th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are away from home (37.4).
The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Compared to last year's 79.6% clip, Payton Pritchard's free-throw performance has tailed off this year to 68.5%.