Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season on the road.
Payton Pritchard has committed 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (25th percentile).
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for field goals; opposing teams have posted the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (44.4%).
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Payton Pritchard lands in the 20th percentile for shooting ability with a a lackluster 39.1% rate this year.
The Celtics check in as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from their home court this year.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 27.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).