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Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Payton Pritchard has notched 11.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's notched over the course of the season.

Payton Pritchard has made 61.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 21.6% more than he's converted overall this season.

The Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have posted 129.8 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

Out of all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard rates in the 25th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, logging just 0.6 free throws per game when playing at home this year.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.3 free throws per game.

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 31.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

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