Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 10:14 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has tallied 13.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Payton Pritchard has made 72.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 31.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Celtics have been the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the road team this year.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have averaged 38.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a strong matchup.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics.
Payton Pritchard figures to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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