Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-108).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has converted 51.8% of his treys over the last 5 games, 13.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Relative to last year's 12.1 mark, Payton Pritchard's playing time has spiked this year to 20.0 minutes per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard measures in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a lowly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The Celtics rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged 45.0% on field goals (9th-weakest in the league) vs. the Warriors, creating a hard matchup.

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has made 37.2% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Warriors (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

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