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Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Compared to last season's 33.8% rate, Payton Pritchard's field goal effectiveness has risen this season to 52.7%.Payton Pritchard has made an impressive 51.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit more than his 29.9 rate last year.Among all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 1.2 fouls per game while playing at home this year.This year, the other team has averaged 45.8% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, creating a hard matchup.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 8th-worst in the league over the last 15 games playing at home, tallying a mere 21.3 free throw attempts per game.This year, the other team has attempted 25.1 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to draw fouls.
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