Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 11.6 clip, Payton Pritchard's playing time has increased this year to 20.7 minutes per game.
Payton Pritchard has committed 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (17th percentile).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 9 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 40.3% clip, Payton Pritchard's shooting effectiveness has declined this season to 21.2%.
Out of all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard measures in the 17th percentile for 3-point prowess while playing on the road with a a lackluster 18.4% rate this year.
When it comes to three-point shots, the Boston Celtics's poor 33.5% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 6th-lowest in the league this year.
This matchup is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Orlando Magic have the home court advantage, opposing teams have totaled the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league against them since the start of last season (13.1).
The 4th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.