Payton Pritchard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has sunk 47.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 14.1% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
In comparison to last season's 11.6 mark, Payton Pritchard's playing time has spiked this season to 19.8 minutes per game.
Payton Pritchard has been called for 1.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 8 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 40.3% mark, Payton Pritchard's shooting proficiency has dropped this year to 16.7%.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have averaged 14.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, making this a favorable matchup.
The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Boston Celtics.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line while playing on the road: 6th-worst in the league this year, averaging a lowly 20.8 free throws per game.