Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has tallied 3.4 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's best in this category over this stretch: 81st percentile.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard will likely see an increase in effectiveness for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

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