Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 1, 2024

Updated May 1, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has totaled 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.8 more than he's totaled overall this year at home.
Payton Pritchard has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The Celtics check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.

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