Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has averaged 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Payton Pritchard has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's played overall this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
Payton Pritchard will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

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