Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 1:22 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has averaged 2.9 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's best by this metric recently: 76th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise possessions for the Celtics.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

While at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard ought to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

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