Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has put up 3.1 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 77th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Celtics rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Payton Pritchard will likely see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics.
While playing on the road, the Rockets have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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