Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has tallied 2.8 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch: 75th percentile.
The Boston Celtics will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 12.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Payton Pritchard should suffer a drop-off in production across the board considering being on the road in this contest.

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