Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has put up 3.0 assists per game this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard recently.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).
Payton Pritchard will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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