Payton Pritchard Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Payton Pritchard

NBA · Player Props

Payton Pritchard

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

Payton Pritchard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Payton Pritchard has averaged 2.9 assists per game this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Payton Pritchard has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics.
Payton Pritchard figures to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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