Paul Reed Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has compiled 2.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.7 more than he's compiled in all games this season on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 8thbest in in the NBA away from home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have captured 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Paul Reed slots into the 24th percentile for playing time, compiling a mere 15.1 minutes per game this year.
Relative to last year's 1.8 rate, Paul Reed's personal fouls per game have spiked this year to 2.9.
The 76ers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to decrease plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Paul Reed will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance across the board.

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