Paul Reed Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 3, 2023 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has posted 4.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.3 more than he's posted overall this season on the road.
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production across the board.

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