Paul Reed Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has posted 4.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.6 more than he's posted overall this season on the road.
The Celtics have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the 76ers.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has played 12.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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