Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Utah Jazz vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has sunk 60.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.
The Pistons have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Pistons are expected to see a rise in plays today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul Reed has attempted 0.7 treys per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league.
Paul Reed has averaged 9.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 15th percentile.
As a team, the Pistons have been bad at drawing fouls while on the road: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.
Paul Reed will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance for all stats.

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