Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to get a boost in plays today from facing the 9th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Pistons check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 17 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Paul Reed comes in at the 18th percentile for shot attempts from downtown on the road, putting up 0.8 per game this year.
Paul Reed has averaged 11.8 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 18th percentile.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been lousy at drawing fouls on the road: worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 18.6 free throws per game.
Paul Reed will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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