Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 4, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 14.5% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
The 76ers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed has attempted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has attempted 0.8 shots from downtown per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 21st percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Paul Reed ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
In regard to shooting, the 76ers's lackluster 103.5 points per game places 3rd-worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.

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