Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has sunk 62.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Paul Reed has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 14.1 more than he's played overall this year at home.
The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been very high (12.4 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been very low this year (2.4 foul shots per game: 3rd percentile).

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