Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 30.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The matchup against Onyeka Okongwu is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Okongwu is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.9 free throws per game (85th percentile).
Paul Reed will likely see an increase in production for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has attempted 0.6 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league.
The 76ers have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The number of threes hit against Onyeka Okongwu has been remarkably low (0.3 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The 76ers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has snagged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) against the Hawks (saving possessions that can produce further chances for offense).

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