Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has successfully made 5.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Paul Reed has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Paul Reed has played 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Nets is a challenging one for field goals; opposing teams have posted the 5th-lowest FG% in the league over the last 10 games (46.3%).
The 76ers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
When squaring off against other starting Cs, Nic Claxton rates in the 10th percentile with only 1.1 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The 76ers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease opportunities for the 76ers.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has come down with 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (lengthening possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).

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