Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has converted 66.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers rank 10thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 20.6 free throws per game this year (5th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Paul Reed has attempted 0.4 3-point shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Paul Reed rates in the 22nd percentile for playing time, putting up just 13.9 minutes per game this year.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 10th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Paul Reed has attempted 0.5 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 16th percentile among all players in the NBA.