Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:40 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 12.5% mark, Paul Reed's three-point efficiency has surged this season to 42.9%.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing starting Cs have tallied 1.9 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, making this a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 8thbest in in the NBA away from home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have captured 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Paul Reed slots into the 24th percentile for playing time, compiling a mere 15.1 minutes per game this year.
Relative to last year's 1.8 rate, Paul Reed's personal fouls per game have spiked this year to 2.9.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
The 76ers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to decrease plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.

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