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Paul Reed

Paul Reed Points
Player Prop - 5/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paul Reed has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 37.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Paul Reed has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 16.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a strong one; they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (121.8).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Paul Reed will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production across the board.

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