Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has sunk 82.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year without the home court advantage.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the 76ers.
The Hawks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has converted a lowly 0.0% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 30.0 mark last season.
Paul Reed has been on the court for 11.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 18th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (24.7%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).